Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
31.29 – 153.04
18%82%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
91 – 110
Prediction correct · off by 51.4 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 251.6 ±12.8
Season APEX 72Event APEX -20.52Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 1.04Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 50.77Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 285 ±10.4
Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 55.53Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 31.39Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82Event APEX 66.12Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 716, 5746, 173
39
/ 100 compatProjected
31.3 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 716, 5746, 173
Auto
10.1 32%
Teleop
13.7 44%
Endgame
7.5 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7127, 558, 3654
77
/ 100 compatProjected
153 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 7127, 558, 3654
Auto
23.5 16%
Teleop
75.4 50%
Endgame
50.5 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.16
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score31.3pts
Blue projected score153pts
Red win probability18%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -121.7
- Score range
- 9–175
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
251.6Season APEX285
10.1Auto23.5
13.7Teleop75.4
7.5Endgame50.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 22 |
| teleop | 41 | 60 |
| endgame | 29 | 28 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 91 | 110 |
Result
Final score
91 – 110
Prediction correct · off by 51.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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