Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

72.84 – 30.61

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

60 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 10.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 199 ±12.8

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 2.36Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3654TechTigers

Season APEX 82Event APEX 47.77Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10245WAMS

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 22.71Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.1 ±13.9

716Who'sCTEKS

Season APEX 72Event APEX 4.03Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2785Prometheus

Season APEX 58.1Event APEX 19.98Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10266Hopkins Galvanized Goats

Season APEX 50Event APEX 6.6Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2712, 3654, 10245

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2712, 3654, 10245

Auto

12.2 17%

Teleop

38.3 53%

Endgame

21.6 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 716, 2785, 10266

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 716, 2785, 10266

Auto

15.3 54%

Teleop

6.1 22%

Endgame

6.9 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.8pts

Blue projected score30.6pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42.2
Score range: 4–100
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 83 vs event baseline 150.2.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

199Season APEX180.1

12.2Auto15.3

38.3Teleop6.1

21.6Endgame6.9

51Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	9
teleop	30	10
endgame	19	4
foul	5	0
total	60	23

Result

Final score

60 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 10.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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