Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
526.37 – 262.93
96%4%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
437 – 237
Prediction correct · off by 57.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 603.1 ±9.9
Season APEX 24Event APEX 2.71Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 292.44Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 231.22Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.9 ±10
Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 35.57Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 125.95Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 101.41Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7907, 6328, 176
79
/ 100 compatProjected
526.4 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 7907, 6328, 176
Auto
90.7 17%
Teleop
324.0 62%
Endgame
109.7 21%
Strengths
- · 6328 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4572, 4909, 7127
79
/ 100 compatProjected
262.9 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4572, 4909, 7127
Auto
39.0 16%
Teleop
152.8 61%
Endgame
57.6 23%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.61
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score526.4pts
Blue projected score262.9pts
Red win probability96%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 263.4
- Score range
- 237–552
- Upset likelihood
- 4%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
603.1Season APEX374.9
90.7Auto39
324Teleop152.8
109.7Endgame57.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 51 | 61 |
| teleop | 283 | 114 |
| endgame | 78 | 27 |
| foul | 25 | 35 |
| total | 437 | 237 |
Result
Final score
437 – 237
Prediction correct · off by 57.7 pts
Match videos
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