Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
301.11 – 286.71
54%46%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
245 – 179
Prediction correct · off by 81.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 498.5 ±11.2
Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 114.87Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 22.04Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 164.2Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 468.7 ±10.4
Season APEX 109Event APEX 19.33Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 130.86Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 136.52Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 177, 7760, 7407
81
/ 100 compatProjected
301.1 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 177, 7760, 7407
Auto
47.6 16%
Teleop
172.7 58%
Endgame
75.9 26%
Strengths
- · 7407 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9710, 1699, 236
80
/ 100 compatProjected
286.7 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9710, 1699, 236
Auto
43.7 16%
Teleop
162.4 59%
Endgame
70.6 26%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.52
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score301.1pts
Blue projected score286.7pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 14.4
- Score range
- 256–332
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
498.5Season APEX468.7
47.6Auto43.7
172.7Teleop162.4
75.9Endgame70.6
8Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 32 | 15 |
| teleop | 176 | 104 |
| endgame | 37 | 60 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 245 | 179 |
Result
Final score
245 – 179
Prediction correct · off by 81.9 pts
Match videos
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