Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

301.11 – 286.71

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

245 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 81.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 498.5 ±11.2

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 114.87Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 22.04Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 164.2Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 468.7 ±10.4

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 19.33Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 130.86Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 136.52Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 177, 7760, 7407

/ 100 compat

Projected

301.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 177, 7760, 7407

Auto

47.6 16%

Teleop

172.7 58%

Endgame

75.9 26%

Strengths

· 7407 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9710, 1699, 236

/ 100 compat

Projected

286.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9710, 1699, 236

Auto

43.7 16%

Teleop

162.4 59%

Endgame

70.6 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score301.1pts

Blue projected score286.7pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 14.4
Score range: 256–332
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 424 vs event baseline 173.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

498.5Season APEX468.7

47.6Auto43.7

172.7Teleop162.4

75.9Endgame70.6

8Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	15
teleop	176	104
endgame	37	60
foul	0	0
total	245	179

Result

Final score

245 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 81.9 pts

Match videos

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