Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

428.76 – 168.32

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

458 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 23 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 603.1 ±9.3

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 43.15Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

571Paragon Robotics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 195.7Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 189.91Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 287.9 ±10.4

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 36.04Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 49.68Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 82.6Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1991, 571, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

428.8 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1991, 571, 2067

Auto

80.9 19%

Teleop

245.8 57%

Endgame

101.8 24%

Strengths

· 571 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2170, 178, 155

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2170, 178, 155

Auto

39.5 24%

Teleop

97.4 59%

Endgame

28.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.59 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score428.8pts

Blue projected score168.3pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 260.4
Score range: 137–460
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 643 vs event baseline 171.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

603.1Season APEX287.9

80.9Auto39.5

245.8Teleop97.4

101.8Endgame28

0Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	50
teleop	227	78
endgame	132	52
foul	0	5
total	458	185

Result

Final score

458 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 23 pts

Match videos

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