Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

321.95 – 160.85

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

221 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 63.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 498.5 ±11.2

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 122.18Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 28.12Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 171.65Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.7 ±11.7

181Birds Of Prey

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 40.56Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 61.88Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 58.41Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 177, 7760, 7407

/ 100 compat

Projected

322 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 177, 7760, 7407

Auto

51.4 16%

Teleop

187.2 59%

Endgame

77.8 25%

Strengths

· 7407 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 181, 228, 175

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 181, 228, 175

Auto

22.3 14%

Teleop

85.6 55%

Endgame

47.3 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score322pts

Blue projected score160.9pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 161.1
Score range: 130–353
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 355 vs event baseline 170.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

498.5Season APEX298.7

51.4Auto22.3

187.2Teleop85.6

77.8Endgame47.3

6Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	25
teleop	113	88
endgame	70	21
foul	5	0
total	221	134

Result

Final score

221 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 63.9 pts

Match videos

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