Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

292.21 – 290.58

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

338 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 75.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 507.1 ±9.8

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 117.41Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX 8.33Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 166.47Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 468.7 ±10.4

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 20.65Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 132.1Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 137.83Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 177, 3182, 7407

/ 100 compat

Projected

292.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 177, 3182, 7407

Auto

39.3 14%

Teleop

173.8 60%

Endgame

74.7 26%

Strengths

· 7407 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9710, 1699, 236

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9710, 1699, 236

Auto

43.3 15%

Teleop

155.9 55%

Endgame

82.7 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score292.2pts

Blue projected score290.6pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.6
Score range: 259–324
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 523 vs event baseline 179.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

507.1Season APEX468.7

39.3Auto43.3

173.8Teleop155.9

74.7Endgame82.7

46Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	18
teleop	159	87
endgame	94	80
foul	25	0
total	338	185

Result

Final score

338 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 75.7 pts

Match videos

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