Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

277.66 – 187.58

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

377 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 78.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 468.7 ±10.4

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 16.38Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 127.66Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 133.62Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 287.9 ±10.4

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 42.58Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 56.16Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 88.84Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9710, 1699, 236

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9710, 1699, 236

Auto

41.1 15%

Teleop

152.3 56%

Endgame

76.4 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2170, 178, 155

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2170, 178, 155

Auto

41.3 22%

Teleop

106.8 58%

Endgame

36.2 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score277.7pts

Blue projected score187.6pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 90.1
Score range: 156–310
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 507 vs event baseline 179.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

468.7Season APEX287.9

41.1Auto41.3

152.3Teleop106.8

76.4Endgame36.2

0Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	58
teleop	178	53
endgame	125	19
foul	15	0
total	377	130

Result

Final score

377 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 78.5 pts

Match videos

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