Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

432.85 – 290.38

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

485 – 425

Prediction correct · off by 93.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 603.1 ±9.3

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 43.53Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

571Paragon Robotics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 197.21Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 192.11Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 498.5 ±11.2

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 111.52Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 19.21Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 159.65Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1991, 571, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

432.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1991, 571, 2067

Auto

83.9 19%

Teleop

242.1 56%

Endgame

106.5 25%

Strengths

· 571 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 177, 7760, 7407

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 177, 7760, 7407

Auto

45.0 16%

Teleop

172.4 60%

Endgame

68.6 24%

Strengths

· 7407 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score432.9pts

Blue projected score290.4pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 142.5
Score range: 258–465
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 910 vs event baseline 175.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

603.1Season APEX498.5

83.9Auto45

242.1Teleop172.4

106.5Endgame68.6

0Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	98	74
teleop	264	173
endgame	118	178
foul	5	0
total	485	425

Result

Final score

485 – 425

Prediction correct · off by 93.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.