Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

267.69 – 167.47

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

341 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 50.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 468.7 ±10.4

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 12.73Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 124.56Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 130.4Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.8 ±12.2

558Elm City Robo Squad

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 58.02Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6346Cybears Robotics Team

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 54.69Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 54.76Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9710, 1699, 236

/ 100 compat

Projected

267.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9710, 1699, 236

Auto

38.9 15%

Teleop

151.6 58%

Endgame

68.8 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 558, 6346, 3461

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 558, 6346, 3461

Auto

38.8 24%

Teleop

76.3 47%

Endgame

48.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score267.7pts

Blue projected score167.5pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 100.2
Score range: 136–299
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 480 vs event baseline 174.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

468.7Season APEX223.8

38.9Auto38.8

151.6Teleop76.3

68.8Endgame48

0Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	49
teleop	156	54
endgame	125	36
foul	5	0
total	341	139

Result

Final score

341 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 50.9 pts

Match videos

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