Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

157.54 – 163.87

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

236 – 371

Prediction correct · off by 142.8 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.2 ±11.7

429Two Many Bobcats

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 57.26Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10245WAMS

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 12.57Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 87.71Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 557 ±9.8

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 55.02Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 37.42Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 71.43Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 429, 10245, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 429, 10245, 2067

Auto

19.1 12%

Teleop

95.5 61%

Endgame

41.8 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 236, 175, 7407

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 236, 175, 7407

Auto

25.0 16%

Teleop

91.6 57%

Endgame

44.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score157.5pts

Blue projected score163.9pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.3
Score range: 130–192
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 607 vs event baseline 154.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

391.2Season APEX557

19.1Auto25

95.5Teleop91.6

41.8Endgame44.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	63
teleop	120	182
endgame	45	121
foul	0	5
total	236	371

Result

Final score

236 – 371

Prediction correct · off by 142.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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