Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
84.98 – 72.27
54%46%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
69 – 49
Prediction correct · off by 19.6 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 209.9 ±12.8
Season APEX 58.1Event APEX 53.14Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 54.93Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50Event APEX -23.09Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 247.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 27.41Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 10Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 34.86Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2785, 8889, 10266
44
/ 100 compatProjected
85 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2785, 8889, 10266
Auto
6.4 7%
Teleop
44.6 52%
Endgame
35.1 41%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3461, 3634, 10133
48
/ 100 compatProjected
72.3 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3461, 3634, 10133
Auto
17.8 25%
Teleop
38.9 54%
Endgame
15.1 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.48
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score85pts
Blue projected score72.3pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 12.7
- Score range
- 42–115
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
209.9Season APEX247.6
6.4Auto17.8
44.6Teleop38.9
35.1Endgame15.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 19 |
| teleop | 22 | 23 |
| endgame | 11 | 7 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 69 | 49 |
Result
Final score
69 – 49
Prediction correct · off by 19.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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