Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

236.24 – 211.5

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

306 – 362

Prediction missed · off by 110.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 451.9 ±11.7

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 118.45Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3634Bridgeport Spark City

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX -9.58Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 127.37Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 432 ±11.2

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 33.99Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10245WAMS

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 14.75Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 162.76Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 177, 3634, 1699

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 177, 3634, 1699

Auto

31.4 14%

Teleop

141.6 62%

Endgame

54.7 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 178, 10245, 7407

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 178, 10245, 7407

Auto

41.8 21%

Teleop

121.0 59%

Endgame

40.6 20%

Strengths

· 7407 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score236.2pts

Blue projected score211.5pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 24.7
Score range: 182–266
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 668 vs event baseline 165.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

451.9Season APEX432

31.4Auto41.8

141.6Teleop121

54.7Endgame40.6

17Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	68
teleop	191	219
endgame	85	75
foul	0	0
total	306	362

Result

Final score

306 – 362

Prediction missed · off by 110.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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