Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

59.66 – 44.53

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

72 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 10.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 164.5 ±13.9

5746Human Error

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 23.33Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

181Birds Of Prey

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 41.41Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5856Bullbots

Season APEX 36.9Event APEX -5.08Rank 37Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.9 ±13.3

10266Hopkins Galvanized Goats

Season APEX 50Event APEX -14.62Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3719STEM Whalers

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 5.23Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

429Two Many Bobcats

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 53.92Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5746, 181, 5856

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5746, 181, 5856

Auto

18.6 31%

Teleop

19.2 32%

Endgame

22.0 37%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10266, 3719, 429

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10266, 3719, 429

Auto

23.2 61%

Teleop

10.9 29%

Endgame

4.0 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score59.7pts

Blue projected score44.5pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 15.1
Score range: 15–90
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 126 vs event baseline 166.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

164.5Season APEX167.9

18.6Auto23.2

19.2Teleop10.9

22Endgame4

80Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	7
teleop	38	17
endgame	24	30
foul	0	0
total	72	54

Result

Final score

72 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 10.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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