Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

279.69 – 65.17

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

295 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 54.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 345.9 ±11

126Gael Force

Season APEX 85.9Event APEX 58.91Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 140.16Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 80.62Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 189.3 ±13.3

9193Short-Circuited Eagles

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX -4.43Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 47.71Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 21.89Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 126, 236, 155

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 126, 236, 155

Auto

64.0 23%

Teleop

145.4 53%

Endgame

64.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9193, 3461, 7760

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9193, 3461, 7760

Auto

19.8 33%

Teleop

23.3 39%

Endgame

17.0 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.53 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score279.7pts

Blue projected score65.2pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 214.5
Score range: 35–310
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 453 vs event baseline 166.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

345.9Season APEX189.3

64Auto19.8

145.4Teleop23.3

64Endgame17

12Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	23
teleop	205	73
endgame	62	62
foul	0	0
total	295	158

Result

Final score

295 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 54.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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