Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

224.36 – 50.63

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

231 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 20.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 425.8 ±10.4

11131Brainstorm

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 37.19Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 59.87Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 127.3Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 206.2 ±12.2

10133Manhattan Monsters

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 41.35Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 26.94Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10266Hopkins Galvanized Goats

Season APEX 50Event APEX -17.66Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11131, 175, 1699

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.4 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11131, 175, 1699

Auto

29.5 14%

Teleop

125.6 58%

Endgame

61.6 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10133, 2170, 10266

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10133, 2170, 10266

Auto

18.0 37%

Teleop

18.6 39%

Endgame

11.6 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score224.4pts

Blue projected score50.6pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 173.7
Score range: 21–254
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 165.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

425.8Season APEX206.2

29.5Auto18

125.6Teleop18.6

61.6Endgame11.6

0Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	23
teleop	90	29
endgame	80	33
foul	0	0
total	231	85

Result

Final score

231 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 20.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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