Skip to content
Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

224.3650.63

90%10%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

23185

Prediction correct · off by 20.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 425.8 ±10.4
Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 37.19Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 59.87Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 127.3Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 206.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 41.35Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 26.94Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50Event APEX -17.66Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11131, 175, 1699
73
/ 100 compat
Projected
224.4 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 11131, 175, 1699
Auto
29.5 14%
Teleop
125.6 58%
Endgame
61.6 28%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10133, 2170, 10266
31
/ 100 compat
Projected
50.6 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 10133, 2170, 10266
Auto
18.0 37%
Teleop
18.6 39%
Endgame
11.6 24%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score224.4pts
Blue projected score50.6pts
Red win probability90%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
173.7
Score range
21254
Upset likelihood
10%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 165.7.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

425.8Season APEX206.2
29.5Auto18
125.6Teleop18.6
61.6Endgame11.6
0Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6123
teleop9029
endgame8033
foul00
total23185

Result

Final score

23185

Prediction correct · off by 20.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.