Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.47 – 173.28

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

141 – 103

Prediction missed · off by 70.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.8 ±13.3

3634Bridgeport Spark City

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX -17.38Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

126Gael Force

Season APEX 85.9Event APEX 52.41Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

181Birds Of Prey

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 34.44Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.8 ±13.9

11464Lancer Nation Robotics

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 55.42Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6346Cybears Robotics Team

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 59.45Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5142RoboDominators

Season APEX 80Event APEX 58.41Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3634, 126, 181

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3634, 126, 181

Auto

21.8 34%

Teleop

27.7 44%

Endgame

14.1 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11464, 6346, 5142

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11464, 6346, 5142

Auto

45.3 27%

Teleop

80.2 47%

Endgame

44.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 2.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.5pts

Blue projected score173.3pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -103.8
Score range: 39–203
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 244 vs event baseline 166.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.8Season APEX202.8

21.8Auto45.3

27.7Teleop80.2

14.1Endgame44.2

45Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	33
teleop	68	45
endgame	40	25
foul	5	0
total	141	103

Result

Final score

141 – 103

Prediction missed · off by 70.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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