Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

354.16 – 72.43

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

315 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 24.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 574.3 ±10.7

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 166.06Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 190.51Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9193Short-Circuited Eagles

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX -2.41Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.6 ±12.8

558Elm City Robo Squad

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 56.93Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 21.75Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5856Bullbots

Season APEX 36.9Event APEX -6.25Rank 37Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7407, 2067, 9193

/ 100 compat

Projected

354.2 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7407, 2067, 9193

Auto

76.4 22%

Teleop

210.9 60%

Endgame

65.4 19%

Strengths

· 2067 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 558, 7760, 5856

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.4 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 558, 7760, 5856

Auto

22.5 32%

Teleop

25.2 35%

Endgame

23.7 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score354.2pts

Blue projected score72.4pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 281.7
Score range: 42–384
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 398 vs event baseline 166.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

574.3Season APEX176.6

76.4Auto22.5

210.9Teleop25.2

65.4Endgame23.7

22Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	47
teleop	170	36
endgame	52	0
foul	15	0
total	315	83

Result

Final score

315 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 24.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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