Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

437.96 – 98.52

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

525 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 62.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 622.5 ±9.8

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 134.35Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 118.28Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

571Paragon Robotics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 185.33Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.8 ±11.7

11409Alchemist's Return

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -1.03Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8889Project W

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 67.73Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 31.82Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 236, 1699, 571

/ 100 compat

Projected

438 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 236, 1699, 571

Auto

64.1 15%

Teleop

256.9 59%

Endgame

113.9 26%

Strengths

· 571 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11409, 8889, 178

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11409, 8889, 178

Auto

30.8 32%

Teleop

42.2 44%

Endgame

22.3 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.73 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score438pts

Blue projected score98.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 339.4
Score range: 69–468
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 662 vs event baseline 164.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

622.5Season APEX251.8

64.1Auto30.8

256.9Teleop42.2

113.9Endgame22.3

63Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	30
teleop	320	76
endgame	125	31
foul	0	0
total	525	137

Result

Final score

525 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 62.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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