Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

163.44 – 230.97

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

285 – 139

Prediction missed · off by 106.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 351.9 ±11.7

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 97.76Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 16.29Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5142RoboDominators

Season APEX 80Event APEX 49.39Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307.3 ±11.7

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 147.28Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8889Project W

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 73.4Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9193Short-Circuited Eagles

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 10.29Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 177, 9710, 5142

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 177, 9710, 5142

Auto

27.2 17%

Teleop

102.5 64%

Endgame

30.2 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 236, 8889, 9193

/ 100 compat

Projected

231 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 236, 8889, 9193

Auto

39.0 17%

Teleop

120.3 53%

Endgame

68.4 30%

Strengths

· 236 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score163.4pts

Blue projected score231pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -67.5
Score range: 134–260
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 424 vs event baseline 163.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

351.9Season APEX307.3

27.2Auto39

102.5Teleop120.3

30.2Endgame68.4

41Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	39
teleop	165	64
endgame	106	36
foul	0	0
total	285	139

Result

Final score

285 – 139

Prediction missed · off by 106.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.