Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.68 – 377.17

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

186 – 436

Prediction correct · off by 69.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224.7 ±12.2

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 69.74Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3719STEM Whalers

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX -9.09Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 45.03Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 623.8 ±10.7

571Paragon Robotics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 179.12Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 156.94Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4628Sintian Robotics

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 41.11Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 155, 3719, 3461

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 155, 3719, 3461

Auto

38.1 40%

Teleop

40.8 42%

Endgame

17.3 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 571, 7407, 4628

/ 100 compat

Projected

377.2 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 571, 7407, 4628

Auto

66.6 18%

Teleop

209.2 57%

Endgame

92.4 25%

Strengths

· 571 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score105.7pts

Blue projected score377.2pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -271.5
Score range: 77–406
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 622 vs event baseline 160.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224.7Season APEX623.8

38.1Auto66.6

40.8Teleop209.2

17.3Endgame92.4

7Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	14
teleop	101	298
endgame	46	124
foul	20	0
total	186	436

Result

Final score

186 – 436

Prediction correct · off by 69.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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