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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
NE District Hartford Event

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

291.38 – 154.36

85%15%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

196 – 208

Prediction missed · off by 74.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 510.8 ±11.2
7407Wired Boars
A
Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 169.53Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1699Robocats
B
Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 119.41Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3719STEM Whalers
D
Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 2.44Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 275.5 ±11.6
8889Project W
C
Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 64.59Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3461Operation PEACCE Robotics
C
Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 37.85Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
126Gael Force
C
Season APEX 85.9Event APEX 51.92Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7407, 1699, 3719
83
/ 100 compat
Projected
291.4 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 7407, 1699, 3719
Auto
45.5 16%
Teleop
166.9 60%
Endgame
64.1 23%
Strengths
  • · 7407 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8889, 3461, 126
58
/ 100 compat
Projected
154.4 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8889, 3461, 126
Auto
36.8 25%
Teleop
60.0 41%
Endgame
50.7 34%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score291.4pts
Blue projected score154.4pts
Red win probability85%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
137
Score range
125–320
Upset likelihood
15%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
Close match
High scoring

Combined score 404 vs event baseline 163.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

510.8Season APEX275.5
45.5Auto36.8
166.9Teleop60
64.1Endgame50.7
70Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto5030
teleop118104
endgame2844
foul030
total196208

Result

Final score

196 – 208

Prediction missed · off by 74.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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