Qualification · Qualification 47
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
99.33 – 194.27
23%77%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
62 – 111
Prediction correct · off by 60.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.3 ±13.9
Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 39.08Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 43.69Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.1Event APEX 16.56Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 268 ±11
Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 79.33Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 67.78Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 47.16Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7760, 4628, 2785
44
/ 100 compatProjected
99.3 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7760, 4628, 2785
Auto
19.7 22%
Teleop
37.2 41%
Endgame
33.4 37%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 429, 558, 11131
70
/ 100 compatProjected
194.3 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 429, 558, 11131
Auto
39.3 21%
Teleop
96.4 50%
Endgame
55.2 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.16
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score99.3pts
Blue projected score194.3pts
Red win probability23%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -94.9
- Score range
- 69–224
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
206.3Season APEX268
19.7Auto39.3
37.2Teleop96.4
33.4Endgame55.2
47Consistency23
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 35 |
| teleop | 17 | 37 |
| endgame | 22 | 39 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 62 | 111 |
Result
Final score
62 – 111
Prediction correct · off by 60.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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