Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

317.19 – 78.16

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

353 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 31.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 472 ±9.8

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 62.12Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 186.97Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 68.1Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 240.5 ±12.8

10266Hopkins Galvanized Goats

Season APEX 50Event APEX -13.77Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5746Human Error

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 8.89Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3146GRANBY GRUNTS

Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 83.04Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 155, 2067, 175

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.2 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 155, 2067, 175

Auto

79.6 25%

Teleop

167.1 53%

Endgame

68.7 22%

Strengths

· 2067 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10266, 5746, 3146

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10266, 5746, 3146

Auto

24.8 33%

Teleop

43.6 58%

Endgame

7.3 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.6 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score317.2pts

Blue projected score78.2pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 239
Score range: 49–346
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 459 vs event baseline 161.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

472Season APEX240.5

79.6Auto24.8

167.1Teleop43.6

68.7Endgame7.3

56Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	24
teleop	215	65
endgame	58	17
foul	15	0
total	353	106

Result

Final score

353 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 31.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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