Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.88 – 163.09

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

63 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223 ±12.8

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 67.25Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10266Hopkins Galvanized Goats

Season APEX 50Event APEX -10.71Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10245WAMS

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 13.34Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 322.2 ±11.7

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 14.99Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11409Alchemist's Return

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -9.83Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 157.93Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 175, 10266, 10245

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 175, 10266, 10245

Auto

20.1 27%

Teleop

48.9 66%

Endgame

5.4 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9710, 11409, 236

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9710, 11409, 236

Auto

30.8 19%

Teleop

84.5 53%

Endgame

45.2 28%

Strengths

· 236 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.9pts

Blue projected score163.1pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -93.2
Score range: 40–193
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 253 vs event baseline 166.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223Season APEX322.2

20.1Auto30.8

48.9Teleop84.5

5.4Endgame45.2

12Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	55
teleop	10	114
endgame	12	21
foul	25	0
total	63	190

Result

Final score

63 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.