Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

115.57 – 177.75

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 9.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.7 ±13.9

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 39.29Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

181Birds Of Prey

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 19.94Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11464Lancer Nation Robotics

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 56.34Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 372.2 ±11.7

4628Sintian Robotics

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 44.93Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 112.47Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 20.35Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7760, 181, 11464

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7760, 181, 11464

Auto

34.8 32%

Teleop

33.7 31%

Endgame

40.0 37%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4628, 1699, 2170

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4628, 1699, 2170

Auto

27.5 16%

Teleop

96.1 56%

Endgame

46.6 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score115.6pts

Blue projected score177.8pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.2
Score range: 86–208
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 289 vs event baseline 167.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191.7Season APEX372.2

34.8Auto27.5

33.7Teleop96.1

40Endgame46.6

10Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	11
teleop	62	92
endgame	23	52
foul	0	30
total	104	185

Result

Final score

104 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 9.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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