Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

186.65 – 41.98

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

237 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 50.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 278.7 ±12.8

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 153.48Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6346Cybears Robotics Team

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 27.27Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10245WAMS

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 5.9Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.4 ±12.8

5746Human Error

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 12.56Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5142RoboDominators

Season APEX 80Event APEX 29.35Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX 0.07Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 236, 6346, 10245

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 236, 6346, 10245

Auto

49.3 26%

Teleop

86.4 46%

Endgame

51.1 27%

Strengths

· 236 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5746, 5142, 3182

/ 100 compat

Projected

42 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5746, 5142, 3182

Auto

16.0 38%

Teleop

13.3 32%

Endgame

12.4 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score186.7pts

Blue projected score42pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 144.7
Score range: 13–216
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 329 vs event baseline 162.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

278.7Season APEX212.4

49.3Auto16

86.4Teleop13.3

51.1Endgame12.4

59Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	18
teleop	127	36
endgame	66	38
foul	0	0
total	237	92

Result

Final score

237 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 50.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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