Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

260.49 – 90.44

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

203 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 44 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 350.3 ±11.7

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 122.92Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 77.59Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 59.98Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211 ±12.8

11464Lancer Nation Robotics

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 59.65Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5856Bullbots

Season APEX 36.9Event APEX 6.36Rank 37Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 24.43Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1699, 155, 7760

/ 100 compat

Projected

260.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1699, 155, 7760

Auto

35.0 14%

Teleop

148.5 58%

Endgame

72.9 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11464, 5856, 9710

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11464, 5856, 9710

Auto

38.7 47%

Teleop

30.6 38%

Endgame

12.3 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score260.5pts

Blue projected score90.4pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 170.1
Score range: 61–289
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 263 vs event baseline 162.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

350.3Season APEX211

35Auto38.7

148.5Teleop30.6

72.9Endgame12.3

39Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	16
teleop	72	31
endgame	66	13
foul	15	0
total	203	60

Result

Final score

203 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 44 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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