Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

129.93 – 51.43

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

57 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 47.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.5 ±11.7

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX 5.79Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 75.2Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11131Brainstorm

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 48.94Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 216.4 ±12.2

3719STEM Whalers

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX -11.04Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10133Manhattan Monsters

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 37.67Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 24.8Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3182, 7760, 11131

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3182, 7760, 11131

Auto

23.4 19%

Teleop

54.7 44%

Endgame

46.1 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3719, 10133, 9710

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3719, 10133, 9710

Auto

10.4 21%

Teleop

29.9 60%

Endgame

9.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score129.9pts

Blue projected score51.4pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 78.5
Score range: 21–160
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 87 vs event baseline 169.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.5Season APEX216.4

23.4Auto10.4

54.7Teleop29.9

46.1Endgame9.4

14Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	17
teleop	5	9
endgame	27	4
foul	0	0
total	57	30

Result

Final score

57 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 47.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.