Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

196.54 – 43.64

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

143 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.6 ±12.2

3146GRANBY GRUNTS

Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 90.67Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6346Cybears Robotics Team

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 52.61Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 53.26Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.7 ±13.9

10245WAMS

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 24.84Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 23.64Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3634Bridgeport Spark City

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX -4.84Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3146, 6346, 3461

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3146, 6346, 3461

Auto

39.0 20%

Teleop

102.4 54%

Endgame

49.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10245, 7760, 3634

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10245, 7760, 3634

Auto

20.1 51%

Teleop

10.1 26%

Endgame

9.2 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score196.5pts

Blue projected score43.6pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 152.9
Score range: 11–230
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 178 vs event baseline 184.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

273.6Season APEX211.7

39Auto20.1

102.4Teleop10.1

49.4Endgame9.2

103Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	14
teleop	76	21
endgame	28	0
foul	0	0
total	143	35

Result

Final score

143 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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