Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

52.55 – 179.8

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

122 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 53.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.5 ±12.8

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 66.61Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3634Bridgeport Spark City

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX -31.45Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6346Cybears Robotics Team

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 17.39Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 368.1 ±11

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 56.7Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 53.86Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 69.24Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 228, 3634, 6346

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 228, 3634, 6346

Auto

31.5 60%

Teleop

23.9 46%

Endgame

-3.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3461, 177, 175

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3461, 177, 175

Auto

29.8 17%

Teleop

106.6 60%

Endgame

41.2 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score52.6pts

Blue projected score179.8pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -127.3
Score range: 22–211
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 170.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

268.5Season APEX368.1

31.5Auto29.8

23.9Teleop106.6

-3.1Endgame41.2

92Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	19
teleop	58	135
endgame	33	63
foul	0	0
total	122	217

Result

Final score

122 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 53.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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