Qualification · Qualification 20
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
102.24 – 203.93
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
29 – 234
Prediction correct · off by 51.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.9 ±13.9
Season APEX 80Event APEX 42.47Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 53.82Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 5.95Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 380.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 58.1Event APEX 37.76Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 63.56Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 102.61Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5142, 9193, 11409
46
/ 100 compatProjected
102.2 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5142, 9193, 11409
Auto
11.5 12%
Teleop
63.8 65%
Endgame
23.3 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2785, 3146, 1699
75
/ 100 compatProjected
203.9 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2785, 3146, 1699
Auto
23.1 11%
Teleop
125.0 62%
Endgame
54.5 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.28
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score102.2pts
Blue projected score203.9pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 67%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -101.7
- Score range
- 71–235
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
167.9Season APEX380.5
11.5Auto23.1
63.8Teleop125
23.3Endgame54.5
109Consistency182
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 39 |
| teleop | 14 | 164 |
| endgame | 7 | 31 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 29 | 234 |
Result
Final score
29 – 234
Prediction correct · off by 51.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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