Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.9 – 224.34

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

162 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 108.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 282 ±11.7

5746Human Error

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 6.1Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 13.86Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 70.94Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 437.4 ±11.2

8889Project W

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 36.67Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 27.7Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 159.97Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5746, 178, 175

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5746, 178, 175

Auto

0.3 0%

Teleop

52.6 58%

Endgame

38.4 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8889, 7760, 7407

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8889, 7760, 7407

Auto

26.2 12%

Teleop

121.1 55%

Endgame

73.0 33%

Strengths

· 7407 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.9pts

Blue projected score224.3pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -133.4
Score range: 61–254
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 532 vs event baseline 166.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

282Season APEX437.4

0.3Auto26.2

52.6Teleop121.1

38.4Endgame73

0Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	59
teleop	100	194
endgame	28	97
foul	0	20
total	162	370

Result

Final score

162 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 108.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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