Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
99.68 – 139.14
38%62%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
14 – 263
Prediction correct · off by 104.8 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 176.9 ±13.9
Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 11.43Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 27.11Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 61.14Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360.6 ±12.4
Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 29.15Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 11.43Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 98.56Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3719, 11409, 4628
53
/ 100 compatProjected
99.7 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3719, 11409, 4628
Auto
14.6 16%
Teleop
53.7 57%
Endgame
25.8 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6346, 9193, 571
63
/ 100 compatProjected
139.1 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6346, 9193, 571
Auto
24.4 17%
Teleop
81.3 58%
Endgame
34.0 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score99.7pts
Blue projected score139.1pts
Red win probability38%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -39.5
- Score range
- 71–168
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
176.9Season APEX360.6
14.6Auto24.4
53.7Teleop81.3
25.8Endgame34
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 4 | 49 |
| teleop | 3 | 163 |
| endgame | 7 | 51 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 14 | 263 |
Result
Final score
14 – 263
Prediction correct · off by 104.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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