Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

426.32 – 304.74

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

468 – 297

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 603.1 ±9.3

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 42.7Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

571Paragon Robotics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 194.7Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 188.92Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 507.1 ±9.8

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 169.96Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX 13.35Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 121.43Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1991, 571, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

426.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1991, 571, 2067

Auto

87.3 21%

Teleop

238.9 56%

Endgame

99.3 23%

Strengths

· 571 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7407, 3182, 177

/ 100 compat

Projected

304.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7407, 3182, 177

Auto

44.1 15%

Teleop

176.8 59%

Endgame

76.8 26%

Strengths

· 7407 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score426.3pts

Blue projected score304.7pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 121.6
Score range: 272–459
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 765 vs event baseline 182.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

603.1Season APEX507.1

87.3Auto44.1

238.9Teleop176.8

99.3Endgame76.8

0Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	21
teleop	235	176
endgame	147	100
foul	5	0
total	468	297

Result

Final score

468 – 297

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 pts

Match videos

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