Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

319.93 – 265.4

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

377 – 357

Prediction correct · off by 74.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 409.4 ±10.4

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 44.49Rank 21Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 121.44Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 154Rank 5Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 369.8 ±11

429Two Many Bobcats

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 44.98Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 90.99Rank 8Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 129.43Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 175, 236, 230

/ 100 compat

Projected

319.9 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 175, 236, 230

Auto

48.5 16%

Teleop

175.2 56%

Endgame

88.8 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 429, 8085, 177

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.4 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 429, 8085, 177

Auto

62.6 25%

Teleop

117.4 46%

Endgame

74.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score319.9pts

Blue projected score265.4pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.5
Score range: 213–372
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 734 vs event baseline 287.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

409.4Season APEX369.8

48.5Auto62.6

175.2Teleop117.4

88.8Endgame74.6

116Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	57
teleop	184	177
endgame	116	123
foul	0	0
total	377	357

Result

Final score

377 – 357

Prediction correct · off by 74.3 pts