Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

490.85 – 341.45

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

596 – 269

Prediction correct · off by 88.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 586.8 ±9.8

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 16.71Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 249.7Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 224.44Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 409.4 ±10.4

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 52.79Rank 21Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 131.25Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 157.41Rank 5Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2170, 1699, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

490.9 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2170, 1699, 195

Auto

104.3 21%

Teleop

275.6 57%

Endgame

107.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 175, 236, 230

/ 100 compat

Projected

341.5 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 175, 236, 230

Auto

44.2 13%

Teleop

193.2 58%

Endgame

94.9 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score490.9pts

Blue projected score341.5pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 149.4
Score range: 291–541
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 865 vs event baseline 279.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

586.8Season APEX409.4

104.3Auto44.2

275.6Teleop193.2

107.2Endgame94.9

34Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	134	64
teleop	279	121
endgame	153	79
foul	30	5
total	596	269

Result

Final score

596 – 269

Prediction correct · off by 88.8 pts