Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

265.33 – 202.12

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

263 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 7.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 369.8 ±11

429Two Many Bobcats

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 44.57Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 90.53Rank 8Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 130.23Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323.6 ±10.4

3146GRANBY GRUNTS

Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 98.89Rank 7Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 65.02Rank 22Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

558Elm City Robo Squad

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 38.21Rank 16Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 429, 8085, 177

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.3 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 429, 8085, 177

Auto

64.7 25%

Teleop

119.3 46%

Endgame

77.4 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3146, 173, 558

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.1 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3146, 173, 558

Auto

48.3 24%

Teleop

106.6 54%

Endgame

42.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score265.3pts

Blue projected score202.1pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 63.2
Score range: 151–316
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 478 vs event baseline 280.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

369.8Season APEX323.6

64.7Auto48.3

119.3Teleop106.6

77.4Endgame42.9

72Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	61
teleop	101	104
endgame	71	45
foul	30	5
total	263	215

Result

Final score

263 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 7.6 pts