Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

366.23 – 166.88

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

337 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 57.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 409.4 ±10.4

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 64.7Rank 21Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 147.48Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 154.05Rank 5Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 343.8 ±10.4

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 78.15Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 75.91Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 12.82Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 175, 236, 230

/ 100 compat

Projected

366.2 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 175, 236, 230

Auto

55.0 15%

Teleop

193.9 54%

Endgame

111.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1071, 228, 999

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.9 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1071, 228, 999

Auto

45.3 27%

Teleop

80.9 49%

Endgame

39.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.31 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score366.2pts

Blue projected score166.9pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 199.4
Score range: 116–417
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 419 vs event baseline 282.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

409.4Season APEX343.8

55Auto45.3

193.9Teleop80.9

111.2Endgame39.7

104Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	11
teleop	203	49
endgame	80	22
foul	15	0
total	337	82

Result

Final score

337 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 57.1 pts