Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

466.94 – 251.96

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

513 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 70.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 586.8 ±9.8

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 9.53Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 236.82Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 220.59Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.1 ±10.4

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 76.46Rank 9Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 137.51Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 37.99Rank 11Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2170, 1699, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

466.9 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2170, 1699, 195

Auto

88.2 19%

Teleop

270.2 58%

Endgame

104.4 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1991, 155, 178

/ 100 compat

Projected

252 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1991, 155, 178

Auto

34.8 14%

Teleop

122.2 49%

Endgame

94.7 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score466.9pts

Blue projected score252pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 215
Score range: 201–518
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 670 vs event baseline 280.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

586.8Season APEX277.1

88.2Auto34.8

270.2Teleop122.2

104.4Endgame94.7

69Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	123	43
teleop	289	75
endgame	96	39
foul	5	0
total	513	157

Result

Final score

513 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 70.5 pts