Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

427.99 – 376.74

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

528 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 128.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 642.1 ±9.9

4572Barlow Robotics

Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 36.05Rank 15Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 149.37Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 242.57Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 592.8 ±9.3

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX 7.12Rank 28Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 234.04Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

571Paragon Robotics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 135.58Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4572, 7407, 176

/ 100 compat

Projected

428 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4572, 7407, 176

Auto

99.7 23%

Teleop

218.5 51%

Endgame

107.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3182, 2067, 571

/ 100 compat

Projected

376.7 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3182, 2067, 571

Auto

74.1 20%

Teleop

213.4 57%

Endgame

86.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score428pts

Blue projected score376.7pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51.3
Score range: 324–481
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 748 vs event baseline 293.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

642.1Season APEX592.8

99.7Auto74.1

218.5Teleop213.4

107.7Endgame86.6

2Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	106	58
teleop	260	118
endgame	132	44
foul	30	0
total	528	220

Result

Final score

528 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 128.4 pts