Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

400.73 – 197.38

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

327 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.8 ±9.3

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX 16.24Rank 28Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 242.92Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

571Paragon Robotics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 141.57Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.1 ±10.4

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 46.58Rank 9Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 35.82Rank 11Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 114.98Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3182, 2067, 571

/ 100 compat

Projected

400.7 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3182, 2067, 571

Auto

68.6 17%

Teleop

232.7 59%

Endgame

96.4 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1991, 178, 155

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.4 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1991, 178, 155

Auto

35.6 18%

Teleop

101.6 51%

Endgame

60.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score400.7pts

Blue projected score197.4pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 203.4
Score range: 145–453
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 510 vs event baseline 289.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592.8Season APEX277.1

68.6Auto35.6

232.7Teleop101.6

96.4Endgame60.6

53Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	37
teleop	183	92
endgame	75	49
foul	0	5
total	327	183

Result

Final score

327 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 pts