Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

146.57 – 182.6

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

292 – 220

Prediction missed · off by 91.4 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches) — wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceΣ Season APEX 208.7 ±13.9

8085MOJO

Season APEX 97.8Event APEX 81.79Rank 8Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

228GUS

Season APEX 67Event APEX 57.52Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10133Manhattan Monsters

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 7.26Rank 23Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 240.9 ±13.3

11409Alchemist's Return

Season APEX 8.4Event APEX 17.59Rank 24Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 184.3Event APEX 145.09Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3654TechTigers

Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 19.92Rank 27Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36
Score range: 95–235
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 512 vs event baseline 288.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

208.7Season APEX240.9

27.7Auto20.1

69.8Teleop92.6

40.5Endgame63

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	46
teleop	162	150
endgame	92	24
foul	5	0
total	292	220

Result

Final score

292 – 220

Prediction missed · score err 91.4

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree