Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

269.47 – 287.71

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

525 – 118

Prediction missed · off by 212.6 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 641.7 ±9.3

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 13.47Rank 9Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 93.43Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 162.57Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 240.2 ±11

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX 93.43Rank 28Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 162.57Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

429Two Many Bobcats

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 31.71Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1991, 195, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.5 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1991, 195, 2067

Auto

52.0 19%

Teleop

146.6 55%

Endgame

69.5 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3182, 155, 429

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.7 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3182, 155, 429

Auto

50.0 18%

Teleop

161.7 57%

Endgame

70.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score269.5pts

Blue projected score287.7pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.2
Score range: 223–334
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 643 vs event baseline 255.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

641.7Season APEX240.2

52Auto50

146.6Teleop161.7

69.5Endgame70.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	98	58
teleop	304	29
endgame	123	26
foul	0	5
total	525	118

Result

Final score

525 – 118

Prediction missed · off by 212.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree