Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

494.72 – 284.27

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

569 – 238

Prediction correct · off by 60.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 628.8 ±9.3

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 115.05Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 224.75Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 154.92Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 427.1 ±11.2

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 249.54Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8889Project W

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 30.39Rank 25Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11409Alchemist's Return

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 4.34Rank 24Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 155, 2067, 7407

/ 100 compat

Projected

494.7 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 155, 2067, 7407

Auto

98.9 20%

Teleop

276.2 56%

Endgame

115.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 176, 8889, 11409

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.3 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 176, 8889, 11409

Auto

63.9 23%

Teleop

137.9 49%

Endgame

79.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score494.7pts

Blue projected score284.3pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 210.5
Score range: 229–550
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 807 vs event baseline 303.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

628.8Season APEX427.1

98.9Auto63.9

276.2Teleop137.9

115.3Endgame79.4

43Consistency102

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	56
teleop	355	95
endgame	154	82
foul	0	5
total	569	238

Result

Final score

569 – 238

Prediction correct · off by 60.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree