Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.11 – 266.6

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

111 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 43.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 248.7 ±11

3654TechTigers

Season APEX 82Event APEX 7.22Rank 27Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

429Two Many Bobcats

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 56.59Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 23.3Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360.1 ±10.4

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 44.84Rank 21Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 157.27Rank 5Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 64.49Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3654, 429, 2170

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.1 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3654, 429, 2170

Auto

29.1 36%

Teleop

33.2 41%

Endgame

18.5 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 175, 230, 228

/ 100 compat

Projected

266.6 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 175, 230, 228

Auto

31.6 12%

Teleop

147.6 57%

Endgame

79.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.55 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score87.1pts

Blue projected score266.6pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -179.5
Score range: 32–322
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 440 vs event baseline 303.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

248.7Season APEX360.1

29.1Auto31.6

33.2Teleop147.6

18.5Endgame79.8

76Consistency129

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	35
teleop	40	193
endgame	25	86
foul	15	15
total	111	329

Result

Final score

111 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 43.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree