Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

102.41 – 178.91

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

171 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 45.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 455.5 ±9.8

571Paragon Robotics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 118.66Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 6.25Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX -22.5Rank 28Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 482.7 ±9.8

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 9.63Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 64.27Rank 21Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 105.01Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 571, 999, 3182

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.4 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 571, 999, 3182

Auto

25.3 25%

Teleop

77.4 77%

Endgame

-1.6 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2170, 175, 7407

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.9 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2170, 175, 7407

Auto

39.2 22%

Teleop

95.0 54%

Endgame

41.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.89 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score102.4pts

Blue projected score178.9pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -76.5
Score range: 51–230
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 284.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

455.5Season APEX482.7

25.3Auto39.2

77.4Teleop95

-1.6Endgame41.8

83Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	55
teleop	82	112
endgame	51	34
foul	0	0
total	171	201

Result

Final score

171 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 45.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree