Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

358.9 – 178.75

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

327 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 37.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 536.8 ±9.8

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 231.92Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 127.04Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX -0.06Rank 28Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.9 ±10.4

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 134.09Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

558Elm City Robo Squad

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 44.51Rank 16Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 0.15Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 195, 236, 3182

/ 100 compat

Projected

358.9 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 195, 236, 3182

Auto

98.4 28%

Teleop

164.5 46%

Endgame

92.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 177, 558, 999

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.8 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 177, 558, 999

Auto

46.5 27%

Teleop

78.2 45%

Endgame

49.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score358.9pts

Blue projected score178.8pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 180.1
Score range: 124–414
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 462 vs event baseline 303.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

536.8Season APEX363.9

98.4Auto46.5

164.5Teleop78.2

92.2Endgame49.6

82Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	47
teleop	171	52
endgame	67	31
foul	5	5
total	327	135

Result

Final score

327 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 37.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree