Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

137.94 – 506.56

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

159 – 669

Prediction correct · off by 91.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 258.1 ±11.6

429Two Many Bobcats

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 20.73Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10133Manhattan Monsters

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 39.54Rank 23Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 77.67Rank 21Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 741.8 ±9.3

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 214.09Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 82.19Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 210.28Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 429, 10133, 175

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.9 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 429, 10133, 175

Auto

39.3 29%

Teleop

51.8 38%

Endgame

44.5 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 176, 177, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

506.6 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 176, 177, 195

Auto

110.9 22%

Teleop

270.5 54%

Endgame

115.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.43 · Blue 2.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score137.9pts

Blue projected score506.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -368.6
Score range: 89–556
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 828 vs event baseline 273.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

258.1Season APEX741.8

39.3Auto110.9

51.8Teleop270.5

44.5Endgame115.5

82Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	134
teleop	63	332
endgame	61	203
foul	0	0
total	159	669

Result

Final score

159 – 669

Prediction correct · off by 91.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree