Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

142.44 – 346.06

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

154 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 33.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.7 ±10.4

558Elm City Robo Squad

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 62.55Rank 16Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX -11.33Rank 28Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 91.22Rank 21Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373.4 ±11.7

11409Alchemist's Return

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 12.93Rank 24Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 131.86Rank 8Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 201.27Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 558, 3182, 175

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.4 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 558, 3182, 175

Auto

27.5 20%

Teleop

80.1 58%

Endgame

31.3 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11409, 8085, 1699

/ 100 compat

Projected

346.1 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11409, 8085, 1699

Auto

76.6 23%

Teleop

200.9 59%

Endgame

62.1 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.46 · Blue 2.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score142.4pts

Blue projected score346.1pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -203.6
Score range: 91–397
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 444 vs event baseline 282.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.7Season APEX373.4

27.5Auto76.6

80.1Teleop200.9

31.3Endgame62.1

93Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	51
teleop	87	154
endgame	42	80
foul	5	5
total	154	290

Result

Final score

154 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 33.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree